ukraine war stalls: negotiations look bleak, but western countries are looking for a path to peace

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currently, there are differences among ukraine's allies. some countries insist on increasing military support for ukraine and claim that they are unwilling to participate in negotiations, hoping to end the war through military means. on the other hand, some countries are worried about the risk of escalation of the conflict and have begun to seek diplomatic means to resolve the conflict. they believe that only through negotiations can the war be prevented from further expanding.

the us government's position has always emphasized that the final decision lies with the ukrainian authorities and that no pressure will be exerted. however, within western countries, there are differences in attitudes towards the negotiations with ukraine. some countries are worried that ukraine might be pressured into premature settlement, while others are cautiously considering the possibility of a negotiated solution.

the period between the us election in november and the inauguration of the us president in january next year is seen as a possible "window of opportunity" in which the biden administration may need to make political decisions to advance the negotiation process. however, with the change of us government and the rise of far-right forces in europe, continued military and financial support for ukraine may face uncertainty.

the ukrainian government is also developing its own "victory plan". zelensky said the plan aims to achieve security, geopolitical status, economic support and ultimately peace. however, whether ukraine can really get enough support from western countries will determine the future direction of the war.

in addition, russia has also been continuously preparing for war. putin recently signed an order to expand the armed forces for the third time since the outbreak of the conflict, requiring an increase of 180,000 military personnel to 1.5 million personnel in the russian armed forces from december 1, 2024. at the same time, the ukrainian ministry of finance also announced that it would increase national security and defense spending by nearly 500 billion hryvnia.

yet despite growing talk of negotiations, both sides appear to be preparing for a protracted war.

against the backdrop of war, the international community is full of concerns and expectations about the fate and future of ukraine and russia. whether there will be a dawn of peace in the future and where the war will eventually go will be the focus of close attention and observation.